Friday, October 16, 2026 · 10 races
JWorm's Keeneland picks on Friday, October 16, 2026: the top four in every race, ranked by the Pace Driven Ranking Method, a pace-and-ability rating with morning-line value, run style and how each horse fits the projected pace.
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JUSTICE PREVAILS Tr: K. Sweezey J Jk: E. Morales | 67.8 | 68 | 78▲ | 6/1 | Strong Overlay | Early | Lead |
| 2 | 7 | BEAUXBATONS Tr: G. Garcia Jk: E. Esquivel | 62.0 | 51 | 74▼ | 6/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 5 | NUT BUSH CITY Tr: B. Calhoun W Jk: A. Concepcion | 61.3 | 55 | 86▲ | 9/2 | Fair | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 10 | MUFFIN MUSIC Tr: W. Ward Jk: A. Jimenez | 49.6 | 65 | 75▲ | 7/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THROTTLE Tr: B. Cox Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 60.9 | 60 | 82▲ | 7/5 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 2 | 5 | FLAMING RAINBOW Tr: K. McPeek Jk: J. Ortiz | 62.9 | 76 | 88▲ | 5/2 | Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 4 | SUMMIT RIDGE Tr: K. Sweezey J Jk: E. Morales | 48.1 | 76 | 89▲ | 7/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 2 | SUMMER OF GEORGE Tr: C. Summers Jk: B. Hernandez Jr | 37.0 | 66 | 87▲ | 12/1 | Overlay | Sustained | Close |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BOORAY Tr: G. Weaver Jk: T. Gaffalione | 63.9 | 52 | 61▼ | 8/1 | Strong Overlay | Early | Press |
| 2 | 8 | CHIQUEADA Tr: J. Ennis Jk: D. Sheehy | 44.7 | 52 | 74▼ | 10/1 | Strong Overlay | Early | Lead |
| 3 | 3 | RED SUN Tr: H. Holsapple Jk: I. Antongeorgi | 38.9 | 47 | 76▼ | 8/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | — | — | — |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DONTWORRYBOUTNOTHN Tr: D. Jacobson Jk: T. Gaffalione | 65.3 | 80 | 87▼ | 8/5 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 2 | 8 | MIZZOU Tr: M. Salas Jk: B. Hernandez Jr | 65.0 | 75 | 86▼ | 12/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 3 | MACHADO Tr: S. Asmussen Jk: L. Saez | 61.8 | 71 | 87▼ | 12/1 | Strong Overlay | Presser | Stalk |
| 4 | 6 | LIFES REWARD Tr: C. Hartman Jk: R. Bejarano | 61.2 | 72 | 87▼ | 10/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MOVIESTAR HANDSOME Tr: W. Ward Jk: J. Ortiz | 70.2 | 87 | 90▲ | 2/1 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 2 | 8 | GRAND PREMIERE Tr: B. Walsh Jk: T. Gaffalione | 57.9 | 86 | 92▲ | 7/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 1 | NO OBJECTION Tr: C. DeVaux Jk: C. Torres | 56.1 | 76 | 86▲ | 10/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Lead |
| 4 | 10 | KELZ Tr: K. McPeek Jk: E. Esquivel | 55.1 | 81 | 89▲ | 8/1 | Fair | Early/Presser | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ARGAN Tr: J. Camejo Jk: A. Beschizza | 63.4 | 73 | 86▼ | 2/1 | Underlay | Early | Lead |
| 2 | 8 | TALKIN IN CURSIVE Tr: M. Shirer Jk: J. Torres | 68.1 | 80 | 89▲ | 3/1 | Fair | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 2 | JET PACK Tr: S. Manley Jk: M. Murrill | 62.8 | 73 | 83▼ | 9/2 | Fair | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 1 | CREATIVE QUALITY Tr: D. Roberson Jk: T. Gaffalione | 60.3 | 76 | 85▼ | 4/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FUMED Tr: A. Delacour Jk: T. Gaffalione | 67.9 | 66 | 74▲ | 5/2 | Underlay | Early | Lead |
| 2 | 8 | PARDI VIDA Tr: J. Sharp Jk: J. Ortiz | 66.8 | 59 | 80▲ | 9/2 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 3 | 2 | SWEET VENTURE Tr: E. Kenneally Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 64.7 | 65 | 72▲ | 4/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 7 | PUUNENE Tr: B. Colebrook Jk: L. Machado | 55.6 | 65 | 78▲ | 6/1 | Underlay | Sustained | Close |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RED SQUARE Tr: W. Ward Jk: J. Ortiz | 55.4 | 85 | 88▼ | 5/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 2 | 14 | CINISTER CIX Tr: S. Sands Jk: L. Saez | 66.6 | 88 | 94▼ | 3/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 4 | BEAUTIFUL WAR Tr: D. Fawkes Jk: T. Gaffalione | 65.2 | 89 | 93▼ | 7/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 12 | GYPSY ART Tr: W. Ward Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 55.8 | 87 | 90▼ | 9/2 | Underlay | Presser | Stalk |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TUSKEGEE AIRMEN Tr: D. Jacobson Jk: T. Gaffalione | 47.8 | 89 | 100▲ | 4/1 | Underlay | Presser | Stalk |
| 2 | 6 | SAMBALOVER Tr: P. Lobo Jk: M. Gutierrez | 66.4 | 84 | 94▼ | 12/1 | Strong Overlay | Sustained | Close |
| 3 | 2 | TAGLIATELLE Tr: R. Diodoro Jk: C. Torres | 61.0 | 87 | 97▲ | 5/1 | Fair | Sustained | Close |
| 4 | 3 | SHADOW COAST Tr: B. Vanden Jk: L. Saez | 43.2 | 86 | 91▼ | 6/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Lead |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COMPREHENSIVE Tr: B. Lynch Jk: B. Curtis | 67.5 | 89 | 91▼ | 3/1 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 2 | 8 | TEND TO YOU Tr: E. Harty Jk: J. Torres | 67.9 | 83 | 88▼ | 8/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 4 | PUTEKETEKE Tr: M. Maker Jk: T. Gaffalione | 65.4 | 79 | 87▼ | 4/1 | Underlay | Early | Lead |
| 4 | 5 | OKEFENOKEE Tr: T. Morley Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 65.2 | 80 | 90▼ | 9/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
Ratings are a handicapping tool, not a guarantee. Morning lines change, so check live odds before betting. Every track, every day: the full pace rankings.