Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 9 races
JWorm's Churchill Downs picks on Wednesday, October 28, 2026: the top four in every race, ranked by the Pace Driven Ranking Method, a pace-and-ability rating with morning-line value, run style and how each horse fits the projected pace.
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DISCOTHEQUE Tr: K. Sweezey J Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 57.7 | 80 | 90▼ | 9/5 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 2 | 1 | RISK IT Tr: S. Asmussen Jk: J. Ortiz | 67.6 | 88 | 99▲ | 4/1 | Overlay | Sustained | Close |
| 3 | 6 | RAVENS DREAM Tr: S. Asmussen Jk: K. Asmussen | 56.0 | 79 | 91▼ | 12/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 8 | ATTERSEE Tr: J. Blair Jk: E. Morales | 55.3 | 83 | 96▲ | 6/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHAMBERSVILLE Tr: K. McPeek Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 52.5 | 86 | 93▼ | 9/5 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 2 | 6 | CATCH THE BREEZE Tr: M. McCarthy Jk: J. Velazquez | 67.1 | 98 | 104▼ | 5/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 3 | ESMARK Tr: V. Oliver Jk: L. Saez | 66.6 | 96 | 100▼ | 3/1 | Underlay | Sustained | Close |
| 4 | 5 | CLYDE'S GOT A GUN Tr: H. Pitts Jk: J. Graham | 60.7 | 98 | 106▲ | 4/1 | Underlay | Sustained | Close |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GUNS ALLOWED Tr: B. Cox Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 73.7 | 77 | 91▲ | 5/2 | Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 2 | 3 | INGLEBOROUGH Tr: D. Romans Jk: L. Machado | 54.1 | 75 | 87▲ | 7/2 | Underlay | Presser | Stalk |
| 3 | 5 | MACCHIATO Tr: S. Asmussen Jk: J. Ortiz | 49.6 | 61 | 87▲ | 7/2 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 4 | 6 | HARBOR PRINCE Tr: T. Drury Jr Jk: B. Hernandez Jr | 49.4 | 73 | 84▲ | 8/1 | Fair | Sustained | Close |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SPILL THE SUGAR Tr: K. LaRose Jk: J. Ortiz | 66.9 | 56 | 74▲ | 2/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 2 | 2 | STATUTORY Tr: P. D'Amato Jk: F. Arrieta | 68.4 | 46 | 80▲ | 7/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 11 | ENTICING MOVES Tr: M. Tomlinson Jk: J. Torres | 65.4 | 61 | 73▲ | 8/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 7 | GRANT'S GRETCHEN Tr: F. Bogle Jk: E. Morales | 52.6 | 56 | 79▲ | 10/1 | Fair | Presser | Stalk |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GREYSTONE Tr: M. Maker Jk: T. Gaffalione | 68.7 | 101 | 103▲ | 2/1 | Underlay | Sustained | Close |
| 2 | 1 | MY BOY TONY Tr: E. Kenneally Jk: L. Saez | 58.0 | 96 | 101▲ | 8/1 | Strong Overlay | Presser | Stalk |
| 3 | 2 | LAZLO Tr: M. Maker Jk: B. Curtis | 57.1 | 93 | 99▼ | 10/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 7 | CARAGOGO Tr: G. Arnold II Jk: E. Morales | 51.2 | 82 | 91▼ | 6/1 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LOCKDOWNYOURTOWN Tr: R. Diodoro Jk: C. Torres | 67.4 | 72 | 81▼ | 8/5 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 2 | 5 | CRITIKAL SENSE Tr: E. Harty Jk: J. Elliott | 63.5 | 66 | 82▼ | 7/2 | Overlay | Early | Lead |
| 3 | 3 | NOROOMFORMISCHIEF Tr: J. Ennis Jk: D. Sheehy | 47.8 | 64 | 81▼ | 5/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 7 | EPIC PRANKSTER Tr: J. Watkins Jk: M. Fernandez | 44.6 | 70 | 77▼ | 6/1 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AEGIS Tr: J. Sharp Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 65.0 | 71 | 80▼ | 5/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 2 | 8 | LOVE DIVINE Tr: S. Asmussen Jk: J. Ortiz | 63.7 | 67 | 79▼ | 6/1 | Fair | Presser | Stalk |
| 3 | 5 | RULES AND REGS Tr: I. Wilkes Jk: B. Hernandez Jr | 63.5 | 74 | 84▲ | 3/1 | Underlay | Presser | Stalk |
| 4 | 2 | MAGIC WOMAN Tr: R. Medina Jk: J. Alvarado | 59.7 | 74 | 84▲ | 6/1 | Underlay | Sustained | Close |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | INITIALIZE Tr: M. Maker Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 72.6 | 85 | 98▼ | 7/2 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 2 | 5 | ORTLEY AVENUE (IRE) Tr: G. Weaver Jk: T. Gaffalione | 65.4 | 88 | 96▼ | 9/2 | Underlay | Early | Lead |
| 3 | 11 | TWILIGHT DELIGHT Tr: D. Leitch Jk: J. Ortiz | 61.6 | 87 | 93▼ | 6/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 6 | SMOKEY SMOKEY Tr: R. Mott Jk: J. Torres | 60.5 | 96 | 104▲ | 6/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SHARP MINDSET Tr: J. Sharp Jk: Y. Ortiz Jr | 63.0 | 64 | 76▲ | 7/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 2 | 10 | DIAMONDINTHEROUGH Tr: C. Hartman Jk: R. Bejarano | 69.4 | 55 | 77▲ | 8/1 | Overlay | Early | Press |
| 3 | 5 | YASMIN Tr: R. Morse Jk: A. Cedillo | 59.2 | 43 | 81▲ | 9/2 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 4 | 2 | PERPETUA Tr: T. Drury Jr Jk: B. Hernandez Jr | 58.0 | 60 | 73▲ | 6/1 | Underlay | Presser | Stalk |
Ratings are a handicapping tool, not a guarantee. Morning lines change, so check live odds before betting. Every track, every day: the full pace rankings.