Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 10 races
JWorm's Keeneland picks on Saturday, October 17, 2026: the top four in every race, ranked by the Pace Driven Ranking Method, a pace-and-ability rating with morning-line value, run style and how each horse fits the projected pace.
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TROUBLE TIME Tr: N. Vaccarezza Jk: T. Gaffalione | 66.9 | 87 | 97▲ | 5/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 2 | 9 | HEARTILY Tr: W. Ward Jk: W. Rodriguez | 55.7 | 63 | 89▲ | 9/2 | Underlay | Early | Lead |
| 3 | 5 | HODL HARD Tr: J. Sharp Jk: L. Saez | 56.2 | 58 | 81▼ | 5/1 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 4 | 7 | L RANKIN Tr: R. Bryner Jk: A. Espinoza | 56.1 | 73 | 84▲ | 6/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ABSOLUTE LEA W Tr: D. Von Hemel Jk: A. Espinoza | 65.9 | 51 | 74▲ | 5/1 | Fair | Early/Presser | Lead |
| 2 | 4 | ARDENNES Tr: M. Kordenbrock Jk: A. Jimenez | 64.6 | 49 | 73▲ | 10/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 1 | GINGER MONEY Tr: G. Forster Jk: J. Loveberry | 63.2 | 40 | 73▲ | 12/1 | Strong Overlay | Early | Press |
| 4 | 8 | DREAM WAVE Tr: S. Asmussen Jk: K. Asmussen | 63.2 | 23 | 73▲ | 12/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | DANCIN FOR GOLD Tr: T. Eoff Jk: C. Torres | 60.4 | 94 | 94▼ | 5/2 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 2 | 6 | LORD MAJESTY Tr: C. Milligan Jk: F. Arrieta | 70.9 | 88 | 96▼ | 6/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 3 | KING APOLLO Tr: R. Hess Jr Jk: J. Graham | 53.3 | 90 | 101▲ | 8/1 | Fair | Sustained | Close |
| 4 | 8 | SWIRVIN Tr: S. Joseph Jr Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 48.8 | 76 | 87▼ | 3/1 | Underlay | Early | Lead |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CANDY PANCAKES Tr: B. Cox Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 71.2 | 73 | 76▼ | 7/2 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 2 | 5 | DELIGHTFUL DIVA Tr: M. Casse Jk: J. Ortiz | 59.9 | 71 | 76▼ | 6/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 1 | TOCO DANCER Tr: B. Lynch Jk: B. Hernandez Jr | 60.6 | 71 | 78▼ | 5/1 | Underlay | Sustained | Close |
| 4 | 10 | ULTRAVIOLET Tr: B. Lynch Jk: M. Gutierrez | 57.5 | 62 | 78▼ | 6/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CREOLE CHROME Tr: J. Sharp Jk: T. Gaffalione | 45.2 | 84 | 93▼ | 3/1 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 2 | 4 | TRACK PHANTOM Tr: D. Jacobson Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 58.6 | 83 | 104▲ | 6/1 | Fair | Early | Press |
| 3 | 1 | CAMP HALE Tr: I. Wilkes Jk: B. Hernandez Jr | 54.3 | 93 | 100▼ | 8/1 | Fair | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 2 | JEFFERSON STREET Tr: W. Mott Jk: J. Alvarado | 51.4 | 86 | 100▼ | 9/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Lead |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DECIMATION Tr: S. Asmussen Jk: L. Saez | 74.2 | 68 | 83▼ | 4/1 | Strong Overlay | Early | Lead |
| 2 | 11 | CAPITOLA (FTS) Tr: B. Cox Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 55.2 | — | — | 7/2 | Underlay | Unknown | Stalk |
| 3 | 5 | START THE PARTY (FTS) Tr: W. Ward Jk: F. Prat | 49.3 | — | — | 8/1 | Underlay | Unknown | Stalk |
| 4 | 10 | ACCELERATOR (FTS) Tr: W. Morey Jk: J. Torres | 48.3 | — | — | 12/1 | Fair | Unknown | Stalk |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | DEEP FLAME Tr: B. Cox Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 66.8 | 98 | 95▼ | 7/5 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 2 | 11 | OBLITERATION Tr: S. Asmussen Jk: F. Prat | 61.5 | 97 | 101▼ | 9/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 1 | SOLITUDE DUDE Tr: J. Sharp Jk: J. Ortiz | 59.3 | 94 | 96▼ | 6/1 | Fair | Early | Press |
| 4 | 6 | DR. KAPUR Tr: S. Joseph Jr Jk: T. Gaffalione | 44.4 | 82 | 92▼ | 12/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Tr: M. Shirer Jk: J. Velazquez | 57.4 | 91 | 101▲ | 3/1 | Underlay | Early | Press |
| 2 | 3 | HEAR THE QUEEN Tr: B. Cox Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 69.9 | 93 | 98▲ | 7/2 | Fair | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 10 | BOJACA BLESSING Tr: J. D'Angelo Jk: L. Saez | 68.6 | 89 | 96▼ | 7/2 | Fair | Early/Presser | Lead |
| 4 | 1 | CAVIAR BREAKFAST Tr: K. McPeek Jk: E. Esquivel | 57.3 | 90 | 100▲ | 8/1 | Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MASHALLAH Tr: B. Walsh Jk: T. Gaffalione | 70.7 | 94 | 93▼ | 8/5 | Underlay | Early | Lead |
| 2 | 11 | MOVIE NIGHT Tr: W. Walden Jk: F. Prat | 67.6 | 91 | 93▼ | 9/2 | Fair | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 8 | CONCEIT Tr: B. Cox Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 61.4 | 83 | 85▼ | 4/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 2 | MYTHICAL Tr: J. Delgado Jk: E. Jaramillo | 56.8 | 79 | 89▼ | 12/1 | Strong Overlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| Rk | # | Horse | Rating | Avg Spd | Avg Cls | ML | Value | Run Style | Pace Fit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SHIRLEY ANN Tr: C. Vesty Jk: A. Jimenez | 70.0 | 96 | 96▲ | 6/1 | Overlay | Early | Lead |
| 2 | 5 | EPIC LADY LUCK Tr: G. Weaver Jk: I. Ortiz Jr | 64.1 | 79 | 84▼ | 7/2 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 3 | 3 | TWIRLING CLAIRE Tr: G. Foley Jk: L. Saez | 63.8 | 84 | 85▼ | 4/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
| 4 | 4 | PETRONELLA Tr: B. Walsh Jk: F. Prat | 51.9 | 79 | 89▼ | 10/1 | Underlay | Early/Presser | Press |
Ratings are a handicapping tool, not a guarantee. Morning lines change, so check live odds before betting. Every track, every day: the full pace rankings.